Given an experiment described by the measurable space (Ω,F) where Ω is the sample space and F is a σ-algebra on Ω, the marginal probability that an event A∈F will occur is P(A). The probability measure P is a function P:F→R that maps events from F to real numbers and satisfies the following properties:
- For an event A, P(A)≥0∀A∈F
- P(∅)=0, P(Ω)=1
- if E1,E2,… are pairwise disjoint events in F then
P(i=1⋃∞Ei)=i=1∑∞P(Ei).
The triple (Ω,F,P) containing a sample space Ω, a σ-algebra F on Ω and a probability measure P on (Ω,F) is a probability space and has the following properties for events A,B∈F:
P(A)=1−P(A)
ifA⊆BthenP(A)≤P(B)
P(A∪B)=P(A)+P(B)−P(A∩B)
P(A∩B)=P(A)−P(A∩B)
P(A∪B)≤P(A)+P(B)
P(A∩B)≥P(A)+P(B)−1.
The joint probability of the finite collection of k>1 events E1,…,Ek∈F is the probability of the intersection of events E1,…,Ek:
P(i=1⋂kEi).
Events A,B∈F are independent events if and only if their joint probability is the product of their marginal probabilities, P(A∩B)=P(A)P(B).
Disjoint events with non-zero probability of occurring are not independent events. Independence implies that the occurrence of one event does not affect the probability of another event occurring.
A finite collection of k>2 events E1,…,Ek are pairwise independent if Ei and Ej are independent for every pair of events Ei,Ej∈{E1,E2,…,Ek}:
P(Ei∩Ej)=P(Ei)P(Ej)∀i,j∈{1,2,…,k},i=j.
A finite collection of k>2 events E1,…,Ek are mutually independent if, for every subset of events in the collection, the probability of their intersection is the product of their probabilities. For 2≤l≤k and distinct indices 1≤i1<i2<…<il≤k:
P(j=1⋂lEij)=j=1∏lP(Eij).
Mutual independence implies pairwise independence, but pairwise independence does not imply mutual independence.